KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: 4.41% or above (99%)
Resuelto: 9 sept 2026, 21:03
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 9 sept 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
4.41% or above99%
4.43% or above99%
4.45% or above99%
4.47% or above98%
4.49% or above0%
4.51% or above0%
4.53% or above75%
4.55% or above99%
4.57% or above29%
4.59% or above0%
4.61% or above15%
4.63% or above0%
4.65% or above2%
4.67% or above0%
4.69% or above0%
4.41% or aboveGanada
4.43% or abovePerdida
4.45% or abovePerdida
4.47% or abovePerdida
4.49% or abovePerdida
4.51% or abovePerdida
4.53% or abovePerdida
4.55% or abovePerdida
4.57% or abovePerdida
4.61% or abovePerdida
4.65% or abovePerdida
4.59% or abovePerdida
4.63% or abovePerdida
4.67% or abovePerdida
4.69% or abovePerdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsActivos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
Reglas archivadas a nivel de evento. Los términos exactos de cada resultado ya no están disponibles.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.40% on Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 8, 2026, or one week following Sep 8, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.42% on Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.44% on Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.46% on Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.48% on Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.