When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Oriente Medio4d
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 66%Líder entre 4 opciones
Before Jan 1, 2027 66%Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
3,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
24 sept 26, 2:00 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
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KalshiReglas
If the United States and Iran hold a senior-level diplomatic meeting after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- The meeting must be deliberately convened for diplomacy or negotiation, and each country must be represented by at least one senior official who actively participates in an official capacity.
- It need not produce an agreement, joint statement, or commitment to further talks.