KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Above 39.9% (99%)
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Above 39.9% 90.8%+96.0ptLíder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
222,3 mil €
Liquidez
116,2 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado19 sept 26, 14:01 UTC20 sept 26, 16:59 UTC
Cronología de Probabilidad
Below 39.3%1%
39.9%2%
Above 39.9%99%
39.4%0%
39.5%6%
39.8%0%
39.3%0%
39.6%62%
39.7%0%
90.8%
1.8%
1.8%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026?
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KalshiReglas
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.