KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Eduardo Paes 92.4%Líder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
25 abr 26, 14:004 oct 27, 14:00
Tendencias
0%
Reglas
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
4 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Eduardo Paes es del 92%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 24 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Eduardo Paes 92% · 4 plataformas · 24 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Polymarket — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- También disponible en Limitless — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- También disponible en Futuur — Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026 · Eduardo Paes 72%
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- Kalshi cotiza Eduardo Paes al 92% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- Está previsto que Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? se resuelva el 4 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket, Limitless, Futuur.