Probabilidad implícita actual
Eduardo Paes 89%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
89.0% / 94.0%
Spread
5.6%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
25 abr 26, 14:004 oct 27, 14:00
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Eduardo Paes89%
Comparar plataformas· Eduardo Paes
Ordenado por volumen de 24h
También disponible en Polymarket
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
0.3%2m
-0.3%94%
50%
50%
+20 resultados más
91 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total209,5 mil €
Volumen 24h512,7 €
POLYMARKET
También disponible en Futuur
Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026
2m
92%
13%
4%
+3 resultados más
40 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total280,9 €
Volumen 24h280,9 €
FUTUURReglas
If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$25 jul4d de datos8 jul
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If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.