KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 92%
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.1% / 8.1%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
4 jun 25, 20:45 UTC14 nov 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Elon Musk and Donald Trump publicly support different candidates in any 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketReglas
If Elon Musk endorses the Democratic candidate for President in the 2028 U.S. presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforEnergy Information AdministrationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNofficial campaign websitesHillRoll CallNational JournalC-SPANofficial political party websitesFox NewsMSNBCUSA TodayFederal Election CommissionNew York Timesthe Associated Press
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 606,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 721 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 411,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028??
- Está previsto que Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028? se resuelva el 14 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Elon Musk endorses the Democratic candidate for President in the 2028 U.S. presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.