KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualBefore Jul 14, 2026 96%+74.4%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
100 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
3,1 M €
Liquidez
1,7 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
96.4% / 96.9%
Spread
0.5%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 45 minutos
Retrasado1 jun 26, 16:1514 jul 26, 3:59
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before Jul 14, 202696%
También disponible en PredictIt
Will Graham Platner drop out before July 14?
4.0%6d
+4.0%95%
-4.0%5%
Retail prediction exchange
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
PREDICTIT
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Graham Platner Drop out of the Maine Senate Race?
3m
11%
89%
Pronóstico comunitario45 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total4,9 mil €
Volumen 24h131,2 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Dropped out” means any of the following: Graham Platner announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Graham Platner files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Graham Platner publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Graham Platner endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Graham Platner is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
- The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
- Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Graham Platner explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$3.6M2 jul6d de datos7 jul
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If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Dropped out” means any of the following: Graham Platner announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Graham Platner files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Graham Platner publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Graham Platner endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Graham Platner is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
- The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
- Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Graham Platner explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.