KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No other person 52.1%+11.0ptLíder entre 17 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
264 €
Liquidez
19,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
24 abr 26, 16:0020 ene 29, 15:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Mercados abiertos
US Politics
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+49 resultados más
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- 601,2 M €
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KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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+39 resultados más
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- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 55 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 283,1 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense??
- Kalshi cotiza No other person al 52% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense??
- Está previsto que Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.