KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Republicans, 14+ pts 79%+31.0ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
3 mil €
Liquidez
3,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
5 may 26, 20:243 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
0%
Reglas
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi cotiza Republicans, 14+ pts al 79% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
- Está previsto que Missouri's 4th District margin of victory se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Missouri's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.