KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democrats, 1+ pts 39%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,9 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
5 may 26, 20:203 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Michigan's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi cotiza Democrats, 1+ pts al 39% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Michigan's 4th District margin of victory?
- Está previsto que Michigan's 4th District margin of victory se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Michigan's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.