Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory
One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20261a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Courtney, 8+ pts · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Precio guardado
Courtney, 8+ pts Compra–venta guardada93.2%–96.9%Recopilado: Última operación: 97% · Hora de la operación desconocidaPrecios como porcentaje del pago, antes de comisiones; estas observaciones guardadas no son cotizaciones ejecutables.Líder entre 9 opciones
Courtney, 8+ pts Compra–venta guardada93.2%–96.9%Recopilado: Última operación: 97% · Hora de la operación desconocidaPrecios como porcentaje del pago, antes de comisiones; estas observaciones guardadas no son cotizaciones ejecutables.Calidad del mercado
42 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Interés abierto
1 mil €
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
Courtney, 8+ ptsSpread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
5 may 26, 20:22 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Courtney, 8+ pts
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Reglas de cada resultado
- Courtney, 8+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Courtney, 11+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Courtney, 14+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Courtney, 26+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Courtney, 29+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Courtney, 32+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 32 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Courtney, 17+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Courtney, 20+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Courtney, 23+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
