KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 13 oct 2026, 11:01 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
PSOE · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
PSOE 69%Líder entre 3 opciones
PSOE 69%Calidad del mercado
36 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
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Interés abierto desconocidoCompra / Venta
— / —
PSOESpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
12 oct 26, 14:00 UTC22 may 28, 14:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · PSOE
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Madrid regional election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Junta Electoral Provincial de Madrid
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. Rank is determined by seats: the party awarded the 2nd-highest number of Assembly of Madrid seats in the final results certified by the Junta Electoral Provincial de Madrid resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published on election night Only the election to the Assembly of Madrid counts. Seats won in the municipal elections held the same day do NOT count Seats won by a joint list that runs under a party's name count toward that party (for example, seats won by the Más Madrid list that includes Verdes Equo count toward Más Madrid) If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Reglas de cada resultado
- PSOE
- If the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Madrid regional election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Más Madrid
- If Más Madrid finishes in 2nd place in the next Madrid regional election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If Vox finishes in 2nd place in the next Madrid regional election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.