KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Nov 7, 2026 4%Líder entre 3 opciones
Before Nov 7, 2026 4%Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
9,6 mil US$
Interés abierto medioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
11 ago 26, 0:41 UTC1 sept 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Before Nov 7, 20264%
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdida
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
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KalshiChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
La regla exacta de este resultado no está disponible.
Liquida mediante:Christopher LuxonThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of the Prime Minister and Cabinet (New Zealand)CNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Nov 7, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
