KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 8% 82%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
41 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
16 sept 26, 21:00 UTC6 nov 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Reglas
If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table.
- The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time.
- If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
- If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsKALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt62.4%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt28.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.5pt7.9%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 16,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase52.5%
- No change-1.0pt45.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt8%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt0%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 61 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 540,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 59,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 539,1 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.5pt15%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 617,7 M €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Florida Governor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Midterms: Republican share of Black vote??
- Kalshi cotiza Above 8% al 82% a fecha de 23 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Midterms: Republican share of Black vote??
- Está previsto que Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? se resuelva el 6 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Midterms: Republican share of Black vote??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Midterms: Republican share of Black vote??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.