KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualAbove 3.0% 8%-7.0%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4 mil €
Liquidez
59,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
11 may 26, 14:3030 jul 26, 12:29
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Above 3.0%8%
Comparar plataformas· 1.5–2.0%
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 99% | +63pt | 4 mil € | 59,5 mil € | hace 26 minutos | |
 Polymarket100% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 36% | 0pt | 261,9 € | 9,4 mil € | hace 6 minutos | Abrir → |
 Futuur72% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 37% | +1pt | 0 € | 4,9 mil € | hace 26 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless100% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 35% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 26 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
1.0%3d
+4.0%36%
28%
18%
+4 resultados más
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total16,9 mil €
Volumen 24h261,9 €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Limitless
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
3d
35%
28%
18%
+4 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total1 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Futuur
US’ GDP growth rate for Q2- 2026
3d
37%
30%
20%
+1 resultados más
44 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total44,7 €
Volumen 24h0 €
FUTUURReglas
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$4.5k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
8,8 €Above 2.5%: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
1,8 mil €3.0–3.4%: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
496,3 €1.5-2.0%: 40%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
267,6 €0.0%–0.8%: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
17,6 €Sí: 9.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
10,4 €Above 5.6%: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Reglas
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.