PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actual-2.4%– -1.6% 47%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
5,1 €
Liquidez
2,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
1.3% / 59.4%
Spread
4469.2%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-14.7%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
26 may 26, 18:2317 ago 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
-2.4%– -1.6%47%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on August 17, 2026.
- The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent.
- Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.