KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Marine Le Pen · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Precio guardado
Marine Le Pen 77.5%Líder entre 14 opciones
Marine Le Pen 77.5%Calidad del mercado
75 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
29,1 mil €
Interés abierto
24,7 mil €
Interés abierto altoCompra / Venta
— / —
Marine Le PenSpread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
12 oct 26, 20:00 UTC18 abr 28, 14:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Marine Le Pen
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election winner?
KalshiFrench presidential election: who will advance?
KalshiWill the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Washington, D.C. be won by any party other than the Democrats in any POTUS election in the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Marine Le Pen finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Conseil constitutionnel
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 1st, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Marine Le Pen
- If Marine Le Pen finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Édouard Philippe
- If Édouard Philippe finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan Bardella
- If Jordan Bardella finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Lisnard
- If David Lisnard finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dominique de Villepin
- If Dominique de Villepin finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Ruffin
- If François Ruffin finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine Tondelier
- If Marine Tondelier finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xavier Bertrand
- If Xavier Bertrand finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Éric Zemmour
- If Éric Zemmour finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- If Raphaël Glucksmann finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Attal
- If Gabriel Attal finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bruno Retailleau
- If Bruno Retailleau finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Hollande
- If François Hollande finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
