Probabilidad implícita actual
Above 2.1% 98%+1.0%Líder entre 15 opciones
Calidad del mercado
91 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
438,4 €
Liquidez
26,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 minutos
12 may 26, 17:0012 ago 26, 12:25
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Above 2.1%98%
Comparar plataformas· Above 2.1%
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 98% | — | 438,4 € | 26,5 mil € | hace 24 minutos | |
 PolymarketMás activa84% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 41% | — | 439,5 € | 14,3 mil € | hace 4 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Core CPI YoY - July 2026
1.5%16d
+5.5%41%
+1.5%26%
-0.8%13%
+7 resultados más
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total15,3 mil €
Volumen 24h439,5 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$4993 jul24d de datos26 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
0 €Above 2.1%: 92%KALSHI
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
0 €Above 2.1%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHICore inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
0 €Above 2.0%: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,5 mil €Soft Landing: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
19,3 €Sí: 76.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9 mil €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
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If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.