KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Before Jul 1, 2029 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Precio guardado
Before Jul 1, 2029 42.5%Líder entre 5 opciones
Before Jul 1, 2029 42.5%Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0,9 €
Interés abierto
444,6 €
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2029Spread
—
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 31 minutos
10 oct 26, 19:45 UTC1 jul 29, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before Jul 1, 2029
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
FutuurNarendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?
KalshiGiorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy?
KalshiSanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan?
KalshiWho will be Prime Minister of Canada after Mark Carney?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiReglas
If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Mark CarneyThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Prime Minister of CanadaCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A statement that Mark Carney will not lead the Liberal Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election, for example once a new Liberal leader is chosen. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Jul 1, 2029
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
