KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin actividad de trading
Datos del 11 sept 2026, 14:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Above 1430 0%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaSpread
92.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
10 sept 26, 22:30 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
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PolymarketIf Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Grok 4.7 scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution.
- Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+12.5pt89%
- 2026+23.0pt71%
- September 30, 2026+24.5pt43%
- Volumen total
- 125,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 55 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture+8.0pt42.9%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt25.7%
- Yang-Mills+13.6pt14.3%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+33.0pt90%
- 2026+21.5pt50%
- September 30, 2026+20.5pt34%
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-23.0pt38%
- 2027-1.0pt17%
- 2026-2.0pt5%
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt62.8%
- ChatGPT-0.6pt20.6%
- Gemini-0.9pt6.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- DeepSeek market share this week
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Tencent market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Grok 4.7 debut arena score?
- Kalshi cotiza Above 1430 al 0% a fecha de 11 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Grok 4.7 debut arena score?
- Está previsto que Grok 4.7 debut arena score se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Grok 4.7 debut arena score?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Grok 4.7 scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.