KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: 41.1 to 41.3 (99%)
Resuelto: 17 jul 2026, 17:07
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
41.1 to 41.3 82.5%+65.0ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
36 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
31,4 mil €
Liquidez
203,1 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 46 días
Desactualizado10 jul 26, 15:0017 jul 26, 15:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
40.5 to 40.714%
39.9 to 40.11%
40.8 to 41.09%
39.6 to 39.82%
41.1 to 41.399%
Above 41.34%
40.2 to 40.42%
82.5%
7.5%
3.3%
3.3%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
Reglas
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.6 and 39.8% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.9 and 40.1% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
