KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above -20bps 96%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
94 €
Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
8 jul 26, 0:03 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Polymarket2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiReglas
If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
- Please note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying.
- Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 282,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,2 mil €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 resultados más
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,1 mil €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 resultados más
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza Above -20bps al 96% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026?
- Está previsto que 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.