KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualAbove 50bps 35%-7.0%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
34,4 €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
30.0% / 37.0%
Spread
23.3%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
8 jul 26, 0:031 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Above 50bps35%
Tendencia de volumen
$398 jul18d de datos26 jul
Mercados Relacionados
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
3,1 mil €4.51% or above: 27%KALSHI
KALSHI
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
2,9 mil €4.45% or above: 16%KALSHI
KALSHI
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
2,6 mil €4.9% or above: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
263,7 €2023: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
80 €4.0%: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
44 €Sí: 50.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
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If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above -30bps, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Please note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying.
- Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value
- If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above -20bps, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above -10bps, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above 0bps, then the market resolves to Yes.