GeminiKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 57.8%Ajustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
87,1 €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaCompra / Venta
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoTraders
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
23 dic 25, 16:08 UTC1 feb 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 51 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
4 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Democratic Party es del 60%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 2 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 60% · 4 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Limitless — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. Senate? · Democratic Party 58%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
Mercados abiertos
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
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POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- Gemini cotiza Democratic Party al 58% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- Está previsto que Which party will win the U.S. Senate? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- Gemini liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- ¿Dónde más está listado Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket.