GeminiKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 90.2%Ajustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
6,9 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaCompra / Venta
87.0% / 88.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoTraders
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
23 dic 25, 16:08 UTC1 feb 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 218 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government by electing the Speaker of the House.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
3 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Democratic Party es del 91%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 2 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas. Las plataformas no coinciden en qué resultado va por delante.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 91% · 3 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 88%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 92%
- También disponible en Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 93%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 91%
Mercados abiertos
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- J.D. Vance51%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which party will win the U.S. House??
- Gemini cotiza Democratic Party al 90% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which party will win the U.S. House??
- Está previsto que Which party will win the U.S. House? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which party will win the U.S. House??
- Gemini liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- ¿Dónde más está listado Which party will win the U.S. House??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en PredictIt, Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi.