GeminiDatos verificados limitadosAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 27 jul 2026, 3:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actualClaude 67%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
-
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
4 mar 26, 11:461 ene 27, 4:59
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Claude67%
Comparar plataformas· Claude
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general93% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 63% | 0pt | 15 mil € | 4,2 M € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta página | Baja | 67% | +4pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 17 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Best AI at the end of 2026?
5m
-1.0pt61.8%
+1.7pt14.7%
+1.3pt11.8%
+5 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total6,7 M €
Volumen 24h15 mil €
KALSHIReglas
Best AI at the end of 2026?
- If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls).
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.4k97.9%KALSHIMuse Spark — Nohace 4 d
KALSHIMuse Spark — Nohace 4 d$1.3k86.5%KALSHIChatGPT — Nohace 7 d
KALSHIChatGPT — Nohace 7 d$1.3k87.3%KALSHIGemini — Nohace 12 d
KALSHIGemini — Nohace 12 d$1.2k92.6%KALSHIGrok — Nohace 18 d
KALSHIGrok — Nohace 18 dMercados Relacionados
Which company has best AI model end of July?
44,1 mil €Anthropic: 99%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?
19,2 mil €$2.30-$2.60: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
8,4 mil €1480+: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best Chinese AI Company this week
7 mil €Moonshot: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 mil €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Top Coding AI this week
3,9 mil €Kimi: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto NewsReglas
Best AI at the end of 2026?
- If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls).
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.