FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 92%
No 92%Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
822,9 €
Baja liquidezTraders
11
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill Trump or his family benefit financially from US control of Venezuela by end of year?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS in control of Chagos Islands by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
This event predicts whether the United States will exercise sovereign control over the majority (at least 50%) of Greenland's territory at any time between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, “control” means formal transfer of sovereignty or governance authority over Greenland to the United States.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official treaties, legislation, or executive actions by the U.S. and Danish/Greenlandic authorities confirming such a transfer.
- If Greenland is formally placed under U.S. sovereign control during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Military presence, basing agreements, or economic influence without sovereignty transfer will not count.
