Polymarket

December 31

76%

June 30

61%

May 31

52%

+7 more outcomes

December 31

-3.0%70%

April 30

63%

March 31

-0.5%22%

+6 more outcomes

George Russell

+2.0%56%

Kimi Antonelli

+0.8%18%

Charles Leclerc

+0.6%7%

+29 more outcomes

↑ $90

100%

↑ $80

100%

↑ $75

100%

+26 more outcomes

June 30

43%

May 31

40%

April 30

33%

+1 more outcomes

>$2M

100%

>$4M

100%

>$6M

100%

+22 more outcomes

NVIDIA

100%

Apple

+0.3%0%

Tesla

0%

+25 more outcomes

$300M

76%

$500M

46%

$700M

16%

+6 more outcomes

78–79M

99%

77–78M

1%

<76M

0%

+4 more outcomes

Delcy Rodríguez

-0.5%66%

Nicolás Maduro

+0.6%15%

María Corina Machado

+2.0%12%

+54 more outcomes

80-90M

93%

70-80M

6%

<40M

0%

+4 more outcomes

No meeting by June 30

-1.9%83%

Other EU country

+1.9%3%

Russia

+0.1%2%

+12 more outcomes

December 31

51%

June 30

39%

May 31

31%

+3 more outcomes

$50M

88%

$75M

59%

$100M

+0.5%33%

+8 more outcomes

↓ $5,200

100%

↓ $5,100

100%

↓ $5,000

100%

+17 more outcomes

↑ $90

+1.0%100%

↑ $56

+48.0%100%

↑ $65

+16.9%100%

+26 more outcomes

April 3

63%

March 27

25%

March 20

+1.0%0%

+1 more outcomes

84-85°F

100%

79°F or below

0%

80-81°F

0%

+8 more outcomes

75–76M

100%

<75M

0%

76–77M

0%

+4 more outcomes

No meeting before 2027

+1.0%77%

Turkey

-0.2%3%

Russia

-0.1%2%

+27 more outcomes

26°C

100%

19°C or below

0%

20°C

0%

+8 more outcomes

Drake releases Iceman

+4.9%91%

New Rihanna Album

-1.0%67%

New Playboi Carti Album

+1.5%60%

+6 more outcomes

↑ $3.75

100%

↑ $3.50

100%

↑ $3.35

100%

+9 more outcomes

74-75°F

90%

76-77°F

7%

78-79°F

6%

+8 more outcomes

Alphabet

66%

Apple

26%

NVIDIA

3%

+26 more outcomes

No IPO by June 30, 2026

-0.5%92%

200–250B

-0.1%5%

<200B

+0.3%1%

+4 more outcomes

0-10

88%

10-20

8%

60+

2%

+4 more outcomes

$50M

100%

$80M

100%

$100M

100%

+3 more outcomes

↑ $5,000

+1.6%100%

↓ $5,000

+46.9%100%

↓ $4,800

+47.4%100%

+15 more outcomes

↑ $90

93%

↑ $100

83%

↑ $110

63%

+11 more outcomes

NVIDIA

90%

Apple

6%

Alphabet

1%

+25 more outcomes

2

61%

3

17%

1

6%

+4 more outcomes

December 31

+0.5%93%

September 30

90%

June 30

-7.0%72%

+4 more outcomes

$100M

69%

$100M

68%

$300M

43%

+5 more outcomes

76-77°F

100%

71°F or below

0%

72-73°F

0%

+8 more outcomes

<$4,750

91%

$4,750-$4,875

6%

$4,875-$5,000

3%

+7 more outcomes

20 - 25

100%

<20 minutes

0%

25 - 30

0%

+3 more outcomes

Friedrich Merz

100%

Maria Corina Machado

100%

Emmanuel Macron

100%

+16 more outcomes

$50M

+1.0%72%

$100M

-1.5%38%

$200M

-1.0%17%

+2 more outcomes

↑ $6,800

100%

↓ $6,600

100%

↓ $6,500

100%

+12 more outcomes

Elon Musk

+0.9%100%

Larry Ellison

0%

Bernard Arnault

0%

+34 more outcomes

NVIDIA

+2.5%80%

Apple

+2.6%12%

Alphabet

-2.3%6%

+25 more outcomes

$90+

80%

$85-$90

13%

$80-$85

5%

+5 more outcomes

1T+

95%

No IPO before 2028

+0.1%4%

900B–1T

-0.9%1%

+5 more outcomes

$50M

+1.0%91%

$100M

74%

$200M

+0.5%55%

+8 more outcomes

No Bond chosen

+0.5%63%

Callum Turner

+7.0%20%

Jacob Elordi

-0.1%5%

+28 more outcomes

$4,000

96%

$4,400

55%

$4,600

18%

+9 more outcomes

350k–375k

+0.5%54%

<350k

-1.0%35%

375k–400k

-1.6%14%

+5 more outcomes

↓ $85

100%

↓ $80

100%

↓ $75

100%

+18 more outcomes

<640b

37%

640-650b

24%

650-660b

19%

+6 more outcomes

Once Upon a Farm

+0.6%100%

Wealthfront

+0.7%100%

SpaceX

94%

+30 more outcomes

<$75

88%

$75-$80

6%

$80-$85

3%

+7 more outcomes

1400

100%

1450

100%

1500

100%

+6 more outcomes

No IPO by June 30, 2026

-43.1%93%

125–150B

-0.7%2%

175–200B

+3.0%2%

+5 more outcomes

Larry Page

+9.0%88%

Jeff Bezos

+1.4%14%

Elon Musk

-0.3%1%

+34 more outcomes

15-19

62%

20-24

35%

25-29

5%

+6 more outcomes

↑ 36

100%

↑ 32

100%

↑ 40

100%

+8 more outcomes

$300M

-1.0%32%

$500M

+2.0%17%

$800M

+0.5%10%

+5 more outcomes

2.6%

100%

2.7%

0%

≤2.4%

0%

+4 more outcomes

1.5T-2.0T

53%

2.0T-2.5T

22%

1.0T-1.5T

10%

+5 more outcomes

>200m

25%

170-180m

21%

180-190m

18%

+3 more outcomes

April 15

64%

March 31

+36.0%1%

January 31

-1.4%0%

+3 more outcomes

↑ $110

+4.8%100%

↑ $100

+7.5%100%

↑ $90

+5.6%100%

+17 more outcomes

SWIM - BTS

89%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

10%

The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift

1%

+20 more outcomes

$150M

+2.5%60%

$300M

+2.0%31%

$500M

17%

+4 more outcomes

↓ 600

64%

↑ 700

4%

↓ 500

2%

+7 more outcomes

4.4%

100%

4.3%

+12.9%100%

4.5%

-0.2%34%

+3 more outcomes

<0%

98%

3-4%

1%

0-2%

+0.4%1%

+6 more outcomes

28°C or higher

100%

18°C or below

0%

19°C

0%

+8 more outcomes

September 30, 2027

43%

December 31, 2027

42%

March 31, 2027

38%

+5 more outcomes

Elon Musk

90%

Jensen Huang

-1.6%2%

Larry Ellison

+0.5%1%

+34 more outcomes

$550

10%

$560

2%

$570

2%

+10 more outcomes

$150

3%

$151

3%

$152

3%

+10 more outcomes

Bad Bunny

-1.5%75%

Drake

11%

Taylor Swift

+0.5%7%

+43 more outcomes