PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Up 86%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
85.0% / 87.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 12:01 PM UTCSep 9, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
LimitlessWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiUS gas prices this week
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on September 9, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on September 9, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Open markets
CommoditiesPOLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $246.1K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-11.0pt40%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $89.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $88.49+5.0pt99%
- Above $87.99+4.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+26.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+16.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+3.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $96.5097%
- Above $9596%
- Above $95.5095%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $82.3K
- 24h Vol
- $82.3K
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt11%
- September 30+0.3pt2%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Copper price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Brent crude oil price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Gas prices in the US in Sep 2026?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Gold price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 9??
- Polymarket prices Up at 86% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 9? resolve?
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 9? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 9? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on September 9, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.