Will the price of natural gas be $8.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (SEP 2022 future)
Commodities
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleAug 12, 22, 12:00 AMAug 22, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether the price for Henry Hub natural gas futures contracts for September, 2022 (NGU2), will settle at $8.500 or higher as of market close on August 22, 2022. If the value of SEP 22 natural gas futures settles at $8.500 or greater as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of SEP 22 natural gas futures settles at less than $8.500 as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used.
- The resolution source for this market will be CME Group's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) for Henry Hub Natural Gas futures, found at (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas.settlements.html). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Settle” in the row titled "SEP 22" when Final Data is available for the trade date of this market's resolution date.
