PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability↓$172.5B 100%+11.9%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$16.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-9.5%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 5:09 AMJul 1, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
↓$165B79%
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KALSHI
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stripe's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.