PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityDecember 31, 2026 100%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$36K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 38 days ago
StaleMar 10, 26, 10:19 PMJan 1, 28, 5:00 AM
Probability Timeline
December 31, 2027100%
June 30, 2027100%
September 30, 2026100%
June 30, 2026100%
December 31, 2026100%
September 30, 2027100%
March 31, 2027100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· December 31, 2026
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $36K | $0 | 38 days ago | |
 Limitless80% match · auto | Low | 99% | — | $0 | $0 | 25 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Will o1 launch a token by ___?
Closed
98.6%
49.9%
0.5%
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$319.5
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
- Announcements alone do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
- Announcements alone do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.