This market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleJan 12, 22, 12:00 AMDec 31, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating, as per FiveThirtyEight, on any day of 2022.
- The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/), specifically, the approval rating indicated by the green trend line and the disapproval rating indicated by the orange line for the resolution date.
- This market will resolve to “Yes”, if for any day on or after January 1, 2022 and before January 1 2023, Joe Biden's approval rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than the disapproval rating.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve as soon as the outlined event occurs.
- The last check will be on January 1, 2023, 12:00 PM ET.
