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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. China
  3. Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffChina18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026 1%+0.1%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$108.1

Liquidity

$3.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.9% / 2.0%

Spread

122.2%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.9%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Oct 28, 25, 11:58 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
December 31, 2025
December 31, 2025
0%

Selected outcome

June 30, 20261%

Rules

If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.
  • Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.
  • Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.