PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 0%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$73.7
Liquidity
$10.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.3%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.3%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Mar 24, 26, 6:13 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
100%
Selected outcome
Yes0%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity, will be, has been, or is entering into an agreement to acquire OnlyFans (or its parent company) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in OnlyFans (or its parent company) by Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity.
- A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms.
- Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
- An announcement of a qualifying acquisition by Elon Musk, OnlyFans, or their parent entities will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition actually occurs.