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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

0.5% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
4800+
4800+ 11%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$804.1

Liquidity

$41.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.0% / 8.0%

Spread

33.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.5%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

May 29, 26, 1:28 AMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

4800+11%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.
  • If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.
  • If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.