PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Muse Fire 18%+5.5ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Muse Fire 18%+5.5ptMarket quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.5K
Liquidity
$18.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.2 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+13.2 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 11:13 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the model family name of the next model Meta releases in a new model family, released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A qualifying release is Meta's first publicly released model of a new model family.
- New versions, updates, modes, variants, or re-releases of models in existing families will not qualify.
- Each listed option's family name is its name excluding "Muse".
- This market will resolve to the listed option whose family name, together with "Muse", appears in the qualifying model's official name, regardless of word order, capitalization, spacing, punctuation, or hyphenation, and regardless of accompanying modifiers such as version numbers, dates, or mode, size, or variant designations.
- A family name appearing only as part of a longer word will not count.