PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 9:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Quarter 15+ 100%+3.9ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$149.2
Low liquiditySpread
7.4 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 58 minutes ago
LaggingSep 16, 26, 2:07 AM UTCSep 17, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Quarter 15+91%
Build / Builds95%
Mortgage91%
Incentive91%
Technology93%
Tax63%
Tariff36%
Affordability 5+91%
Canada37%
Customer 10+0%
No Qualifying Event12%
90%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Lennar Corporation currently scheduled to take place on September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-the named outcome-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be audio of the event.
- For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf