PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 73%+4.5ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$414.8
Liquidity
$7.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 11:45 PMSep 8, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.
- If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
- The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only).
- If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for The Gentlemen: Season 2 is 10%.
CoinRithm reference The Gentlemen: Season 2 10% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Top US Netflix Show this week? · Death of a pastors Wife 77%
