PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Jul 30, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityShow A 50%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 89.0%
Spread
88.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 12:29 AMAug 4, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Show A50%
Compare venues· Little House on the Prairie: Season 1
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall100% match · auto | Medium | 1% | -47pt | $1.1K | $834.7 | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 47% | -1pt | $0 | $2K | 10 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
#2 Global Netflix Show this week?
5.0 pts4d
-18.0pt72%
+5.0pt8%
+4.0pt5%
+7 more outcomes
53 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$1.1K
KALSHIRules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.
- Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking.
- If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles.
- This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Rules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
- This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.
- Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking.
- If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles.
- This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).