Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024?
Commodities
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Apr 11, 2024, 7:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleOct 20, 23, 4:56 PMMar 31, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the average daily oil production in Venezuela exceeds 1 million barrels per day in either Q4 2023 or Q1 2024.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The values considered will be the barrels/day for both Q4 2023 and Q1 2024.
- If either of these exceed 1 million barrels per day, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
- The resolution source for this market will be direct communication data provided by OPEC, (e.g. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/publications/338.htm + https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/publications/Addendum_October%20MOMR.pdf).
- Any revisions made to the reported oil production after the initial data release will not impact the outcome of this market.
Open markets
CommoditiesPOLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
- ↓ $80+27.4pt100%
- ↓ $85+9.3pt100%
- ↓ $75+27.9pt100%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.5M
- 24h Vol
- $366.7K
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31+4.0pt14%
- November 30+4.5pt11%
- October 31+1.8pt6%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.085099%
- Above 4.080099%
- Above 4.070099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $100.4K
- 24h Vol
- $99.6K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.020+3.0pt99%
- Above 4.00099%
- Above 3.92099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $97.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Aug 26, 2026?
- Above $77.9993%
- Above $77.4992%
- Above $78.4988%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $42.7K
- 24h Vol
- $42K
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt12%
- September 30-0.4pt2%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026
- What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of August 24 2026?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 28, 2026?
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? resolve?
- Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2024.
- How is Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the average daily oil production in Venezuela exceeds 1 million barrels per day in either Q4 2023 or Q1 2024.