PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedAwaiting verified resolution: Down
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 1:49 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Down 100%+50.0pt
Down 100%+50.0ptMarket quality
12 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$20
Bid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleOct 23, 26, 12:01 PM UTCOct 26, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Down100%
Up0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower.
- If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date.
- Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (USD/NOK), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET.
