PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Up 50%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$0.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 99.0%
Spread
98.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 12:01 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 156.75 on September 21, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 156.5 on September 21, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExWhat will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketBritish Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) Up or Down on September 21?
PolymarketWhat will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?
LimitlessUS Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 21?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) on September 21, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower.
- If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date.
- Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET.
Open markets
Foreign ExchangePOLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of December?
- 2.0 - 2.5M+8.5pt34.3%
- 2.5 - 3.0M-1.5pt24.5%
- 3.0 - 3.5M-6.5pt17.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16K
- 24h Vol
- $3.7K
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
- 2.2M++3.0pt88.3%
- 2.1-2.2M-3.0pt4.8%
- 1.8-1.9M+0.1pt1.9%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-2.2pt53.5%
- SpaceX+4.0pt45.5%
- OpenAI-0.3pt1%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
- 2.2 to 2.5M+3.5pt68%
- 2.5 to 2.8M+4.5pt17.5%
- <2.2M-4.5pt9.7%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIUSD/JPY price on Sep 21, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 156.249 or below-4.0pt28%
- 156.750 to 156.99922%
- 156.250 to 156.4999%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.8K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes-5.4pt4%
- Total Vol
- $190K
- 24h Vol
- $783.2
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 21??
- Polymarket prices Up at 50% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 21? resolve?
- US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 21? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 21? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) on September 21, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.