PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 95%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 5:53 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes5%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 96% | +91pt | $0 | $5K | 13 minutes ago | |
 Limitless85% match · auto | Low | 95% | +90pt | $0 | $0 | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
5mo
94.9%
5.1%
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.1K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$17Jul 513d of dataJul 25
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.