
Selected outcome
| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 96% | +91pt | $0 | $4.5K | 23 minutes ago | Open → | |
| Low | 95% | +90pt | $0 | $0 | 23 minutes ago |
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Note that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Note that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.