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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

EquitiesOne-OffTechSpaceCorporate Actions6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 96%
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$9.5K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

95.0% / 97.0%

Spread

2.1%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 9, 26, 5:56 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes96%

Rules

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
  • The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc.
  • (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).

Related Markets

Manifold Markets

SpaceX IPO day's closing market cap

$1.4K
<$750B: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

$636.2
$2.0T-$2.5T: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

$169.5
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

$12.6K
↑$1.6T: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

$3.4K
Up: 53%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?

$149.3
Yes: 32.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

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Rules

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
  • The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc.
  • (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).