PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityIncrease 89%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$13.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
88.0% / 90.0%
Spread
2.3%
Tight spread7d Change
+8.5%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 2:26 PMSep 2, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Increase89%
Compare venues· Increase
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall91% match · auto | Medium | 94% | — | $1.1 | $7K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 89% | — | $0 | $13.1K | 15 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September
2.0%1mo
+2.0%94%
7%
3%
+2 more outcomes
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$12.5K
24h Vol$1.1
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
- The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
- This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued.
- If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$54Jul 1016d of dataJul 25
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This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
- The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
- This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued.
- If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.