Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading?

Bitcoin

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Jan 14, 2024, 7:02 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 180 days ago

Stale

Jan 11, 24, 12:29 AM UTCJan 31, 24, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

On Jan 10 Bloomberg Intelligence predicted there would be over $4 billion of inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on the first day of trading (https://x.com/BBGIntelligence/status/1745187694928376233).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are $4 billion or more of combined inflows into bitcoin spot ETFs on their first day of trading.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible sources.
This market may stay open until the value of inflows is known.

Open markets

Bitcoin

KALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?

Save America Act+3.0pt99.5%
Drill Baby Drill+81.0pt99.5%
Hormuz+70.0pt99.5%

+40 more outcomes

Total Vol: $1.5M
24h Vol: $1.3M

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$78,500 or above99%
$78,250 or above99%
$79,250 or above99%

POLYMARKET

Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?

72,000100%
74,000100%
76,000+0.1pt100%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol: $1.2M

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 90,000-8.0pt56%
↑ 95,000-5.0pt36%
↓ 70,000+4.0pt36%

+43 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↓ 80,000+38.0pt71%
↑ 85,000-45.0pt45%
↓ 77,500+18.0pt35%

+34 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↓ 80,000+27.5pt38%
↓ 78,000+9.1pt13%
↑ 86,000-53.0pt9%

+14 more outcomes

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Frequently asked questions

When does Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? resolve?: Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2024.
How is Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: On Jan 10 Bloomberg Intelligence predicted there would be over $4 billion of inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on the first day of trading (https://x.com/BBGIntelligence/status/1745187694928376233).

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Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading?

Open markets

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?

BTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

Related Cryptos

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?

BTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?