PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 2, 2026, 8:25 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 3, 2026, 7:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
$19580%
$20089%
$20589%
$21090%
$21590%
$22090%
$22590%
$230100%
$2350%
$2400%
$2450%
$2500%
$2550%
$195Won
$200Won
$205Won
$210Won
$215Won
$220Won
$225Won
$230Won
$235Lost
$240Lost
$245Lost
$250Lost
$255Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
- For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.