Next CEO of Apple?
Tech
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: John Ternus (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityJohn Ternus 100%+74.1ptLeader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 94 days ago
StaleNov 18, 25, 8:15 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
John Ternus100%
Sabih Khan0%
Other0%
Person B0%
Person D0%
Person F0%
Person H0%
Person J0%
Person L0%
Person N0%
Person P0%
Craig Federighi0%
Greg Joswiak0%
Person A0%
Person C0%
Person E0%
Person G0%
Person I0%
Person K0%
Person M0%
Person O0%
Person Q0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· John Ternus
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $0 | $0 | 94 days ago | |
 Kalshi75% match · verified | Low | 99% | — | $0 | $0 | 151 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Who will be the next CEO of Apple?
Closed
Resolved
John Ternus (99%)
+70.0pt87.6%
6.2%
-6.0pt2.6%
+2 more outcomes
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
- Interim CEOs will not qualify.
- If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
- Interim CEOs will not qualify.
- If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.