Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
1.3% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsRussia / Ukraine8d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAugust 31 22%-31.0%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$30.3K
Liquidity
$19.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
8.2% / 8.5%
Spread
3.7%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 16, 26, 7:14 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
August 3122%
Large trades
$3.6k90.9%POLYMARKETMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? — NoParz1vaI19h ago
POLYMARKETMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? — NoParz1vaI19h agoVolume trend
$30.3kJul 168d of dataJul 23
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
- A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense.
- A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
- A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties.