PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Down 90%+40.0pt
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$12.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 13.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 12:00 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 23?
PolymarketMicrosoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on September 22?
PolymarketWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of September?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 22, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 22, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $82,000 or above99%
- $82,250 or above99%
- $81,750 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 200-219+26.0pt67%
- 220-239+26.0pt32%
- 240-259-0.1pt1%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 85,000 to 89,999.99-0.9pt11.8%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.5pt11.8%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.2pt9.8%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $65,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $66,500 or above99%
- $67,000 or above99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 22, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $85,500 or above99%
- $85,400 or above99%
- $85,300 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $563.6K
- 24h Vol
- $526.1K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 200-219+7.0pt34%
- 220-239+12.0pt22.6%
- 180-199-15.5pt19.8%
+23 more outcomes
- Where will it rain on Sep 22, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- ETH price on Sep 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 22, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22??
- Polymarket prices Down at 90% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22? resolve?
- Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22? is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 22, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.